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I have seen so many outrageous predictions in my day. The $DJIA is going to 36,000. The $DJIA is going to 3,600. $GLD is going to 5,000. $GLD is going to $500. I especially note those which preface their outrageousness with claims of being outrageous – self consciously meta.
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Last night, I did a Google ($GOOG) search for “What time is the Super Bowl kick off?” The top response was from The Examiner and a news story entitled, What Time is the 2011 Super Bowl Kick Off: Super Bowl Sunday is Here. I quote the first paragraph of the article: What time does…
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This morning The CME Group posted an in depth sentiment analysis across asset classes from their education partner Asbury Research. I just gave it a good read and find that much can be gleaned from their process especially. Specifically, what data are experts in parsing sentiment looking at and how are they integrating that…
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For months I have been discussing on Market Shrinkology and messaging on StockTwits about the high level of sentiment volaitility and how it is a critical compnent of the landscape across equity, options and commodities markets. It is the reason why Steven Place’s blog post this morning on the coming vol break on $BIDU…
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Sun Tzu wrote The Art of War more than 2500 years ago and it remains a basic text for those studying military history and strategy. Its also a great read for traders because it captures the required mindset of a warrior when the game is zero sum. Specific quotes may resonate with a trader…
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But Wal Mart wound up engineering the American public to frenzy lunatic fringe style leading up to and then on the day after Thanksgiving. Pulling us about by our opioid receptors until we found ourselves waking up at 1130pm (a half an hour before we went to sleep) to stand in line so that…
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But Wal Mart wound up engineering the American public to frenzy lunatic fringe style leading up to and then on the day after Thanksgiving. Pulling us about by our opioid receptors until we found ourselves waking up at 1130pm (a half an hour before we went to sleep) to stand in line so that…
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Last night on StockTwits.TV’s Market Shrinkology Program, I went into much more depth regarding the Mean Reversion Heuristic that I blogged about yesterday. If you found that post interesting, I think you will enjoy the program as I go much deeper into the evolutionary basis of this tendency as well as answer questions from…
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Last week, I had the privilege of joining Marc Pearlman (no relation) on the You Money Matters Radio Program. This was a special treat as Marc is very knowledgeable in the areas of market psychology and behavioral finance and so he asked a bunch of great questions and just the right challenging ones.
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On this episode of Market Shrinkology, I go into the details of a psychological model for assessing markets. This 3 pronged model examines technicals, sentiment and fundamentals and constructs a profile based on this integration of these three factors.